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US inflation, bad but contained?

May 11, 2026
By: Macro Strategy Team

The record-breaking monthly jump in the State Street PriceStats index in March was largely mirrored in official readings (especially ex-shelter).

But despite the size of that jump, there are few of easing in April. State Street PriceStats rose a further 0.9%mom nsa; a modest step down from March, but still the third-largest increase since the series began in July 2008.

This pushed the annual inflation rate up beyond 4.5%, well-above the official inflation rate. The only good news is that the spike still seems to be contained to energy and food in particular remains within its seasonal norms.

 

Author Bios
Macro Strategy Team
The Macro Strategy team provides cross-asset research and market intelligence across developed and emerging economies. Their expertise in FX, equities, and fixed income is complemented by proprietary indicators on investor behavior, inflation, and sentiment—turning complex data into actionable insights that help clients anticipate risks and capture opportunities.
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1. Peter L. Bernstein Award for Best Article in an Institutional Investor Journal in 2013; Bernstein-Fabozzi/Jacobs-Levy Award for Outstanding Article in the Journal of Portfolio Management in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2013 (2), 2014, 2015, 2016, 2021; Graham & Dodd Scroll Award for article in the Financial Analysts Journal in 2002 and 2010. Roger F. Murray First Prize for Research Presented at the Q Group Conference in 2012, 2021, 2023. Harry M. Markowitz Award for Best Paper in the Journal of Investment Management in 2022, 2023. Doriot Award for Best Private Equity Research Paper in 2022.