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MXN vs Presidents

May 24, 2024
By: Macro Strategy Team

Mexican president AMLO is a big fan of a strong peso. He often compared  peso's strong performance in recent years with the weak performance under his predecessors. This is one of the reasons why we believe that the Mexican peso has been able to stay stronger along with the US dollar. Political pressure to weaken the currency had been low.

But after the huge rally, even AMLO recently began to think that the peso was perhaps too strong as he referred to the recent weakness in MXN as "helpful". Mexico is soon going to have a new president. As the economy starts to show more signs of slowing this year, the political preference on the exchange rate might also be shifting.

Author Bios
Macro Strategy Team
The Macro Strategy team provides cross-asset research and market intelligence across developed and emerging economies. Their expertise in FX, equities, and fixed income is complemented by proprietary indicators on investor behavior, inflation, and sentiment—turning complex data into actionable insights that help clients anticipate risks and capture opportunities.
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1. Peter L. Bernstein Award for Best Article in an Institutional Investor Journal in 2013; Bernstein-Fabozzi/Jacobs-Levy Award for Outstanding Article in the Journal of Portfolio Management in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2013 (2), 2014, 2015, 2016, 2021; Graham & Dodd Scroll Award for article in the Financial Analysts Journal in 2002 and 2010. Roger F. Murray First Prize for Research Presented at the Q Group Conference in 2012, 2021, 2023. Harry M. Markowitz Award for Best Paper in the Journal of Investment Management in 2022, 2023. Doriot Award for Best Private Equity Research Paper in 2022.