Chart of the Week26 Apr 2024
Inflation springs back
The disinflation that characterized the second half of 2023 did not make into the new year. For those still hoping that this was a temporary Q1 aberration the first 20-days of PriceStats readings make sobering reading. April is generally a seasonally robust time of the year for price rises in most countries, but the gains so far this month are well above the norm; especially in the UK and Eurozone. This is almost certainly energy and supply-side driven, but with central banks claiming to be “data not date” dependent this news brings an unwelcome complication to the anticipated disinflation trend and the rate cuts that supported.