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Make America Wealthy Again

January 10, 2025
By: Macro Strategy Team

Those who still see the threat of trade tariffs from Donald Trump merely as a negotiating tactic to achieve better deals around the world may need to have a rethink. In a recent tweet, the President-elect included a chart showing the decline in custom duties (i.e. trade tariffs) as a share of government revenue over the last century or so. He added “Tariffs will pay off our debt and, MAKE AMERICA WEALTHY AGAIN!”.  He clearly sees tariff policy as a source of revenue, not merely a way to close the US trade deficit. We will never return to the days when the vast majority of US government revenue was derived from tariffs. But some rebalancing seems to be the aim in Trump 2.0.

Author Bios
Macro Strategy Team
The Macro Strategy team provides cross-asset research and market intelligence across developed and emerging economies. Their expertise in FX, equities, and fixed income is complemented by proprietary indicators on investor behavior, inflation, and sentiment—turning complex data into actionable insights that help clients anticipate risks and capture opportunities.
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1. Peter L. Bernstein Award for Best Article in an Institutional Investor Journal in 2013; Bernstein-Fabozzi/Jacobs-Levy Award for Outstanding Article in the Journal of Portfolio Management in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2013 (2), 2014, 2015, 2016, 2021; Graham & Dodd Scroll Award for article in the Financial Analysts Journal in 2002 and 2010. Roger F. Murray First Prize for Research Presented at the Q Group Conference in 2012, 2021, 2023. Harry M. Markowitz Award for Best Paper in the Journal of Investment Management in 2022, 2023. Doriot Award for Best Private Equity Research Paper in 2022.